Pathogenicity Scoring
ACMG Bayesian classification, CancerVar, EVE, gnomAD, ClinGen validity
Variants Classified
5/5
All Pathogenic by ACMG/AMP
Highest ACMG Points
25 pts
IDH2 R140Q (PS1+PS3+PM1+PP3+PP5)
CancerVar Tier I
IDH2 R140Q
OPAI=0.99, FDA-approved enasidenib
gnomAD Absent
3/5
EZH2, SETBP1, PTPN11 AC=0
Unified Scoring Table
| Variant | CADD 27 [27] P 2019 CADD: predicting the deleteriousness of variants throughout the human genome. Nucleic Acids Res (2019) | REVEL 28 [28] NM 2016 REVEL: An Ensemble Method for Predicting the Pathogenicity of Rare Missense Variants. Am J Hum Genet (2016) | AlphaMissense 19 [19] J 2023 Accurate proteome-wide missense variant effect prediction with AlphaMissense. Science (2023) | ESM-2 LLR 18 [18] Z 2023 Evolutionary-scale prediction of atomic-level protein structure with a language model. Science (2023) | PrimateAI-3D | CancerVar Tier | ACMG Points | Classification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A R882H | 33.0 | 0.742 | 0.995 | -8.383 | 0.869 | Tier II (0.54) | 20 | Pathogenic |
| IDH2 R140Q | 28.1 | 0.891 | 0.987 | -1.200 | 0.855 | Tier I (0.99) | 25 | Pathogenic |
| SETBP1 G870S | 27.9 | 0.716 | 0.996 | -9.804 | N/A | Tier II (0.99) | 22 | Pathogenic |
| PTPN11 E76Q | 27.3 | 0.852 | 0.997 | -1.760 | N/A | Tier II (0.98) | 20 | Pathogenic |
| EZH2 V662A | 33.0 | 0.962 | 0.998 | -2.970 | N/A | Tier II (0.91) | 14 | Pathogenic |
CADD: Combined Annotation Dependent Depletion (phred-scaled, ≥20 = top 1%).
REVEL: Rare Exome Variant Ensemble Learner (≥0.5 = likely pathogenic).
AlphaMissense: DeepMind proteome-wide missense prediction (≥0.564 = likely pathogenic).
ESM-2: masked marginal LLR (more negative = more disruptive).
PrimateAI-3D: primate conservation + 3D structure (≥0.803 = damaging); 3/5 variants not in API.
CancerVar: AMP/ASCO/CAP somatic classification with OPAI deep learning score.
ACMG Bayesian Points
Bayesian point system (Tavtigian et al. 2020) 26
[26] SV 2020
Fitting a naturally scaled point system to the ACMG/AMP variant classification guidelines. Hum Mutat (2020)
for ACMG/AMP variant classification. Pathogenic threshold: ≥10 points.
Likely Pathogenic threshold: ≥6 points. Evidence aggregated from
11 sources.
| Variant | PS1 | PS3 | PM1 | PM2 | PM5 | PP3 | PP5 | Total | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A R882H | Strong | Strong | Strong | - | - | Strong | Strong | 20 | Pathogenic |
| IDH2 R140Q | Strong | Strong | Strong | Supporting | - | Very Strong | Strong | 25 | Pathogenic |
| SETBP1 G870S | Strong | Strong | Strong | Supporting | - | Very Strong | Supporting | 22 | Pathogenic |
| PTPN11 E76Q | Strong | Strong | Moderate | Supporting | - | Very Strong | Supporting | 20 | Pathogenic |
| EZH2 V662A | - | Supporting | Moderate | Supporting | Supporting | Very Strong | Supporting | 14 | Pathogenic |
Point values: Very Strong = 8, Strong = 4, Moderate = 2, Supporting = 1.
All five variants exceed the Pathogenic threshold (≥10 points).
IDH2 R140Q scores highest (25 pts) reflecting FDA-approved drug target status
and extensive functional characterization.
EZH2 V662A scores lowest (14 pts) as a novel unreported variant with no PS1/PP5 evidence.
CancerVar AMP/ASCO/CAP Classification
CancerVar applies the AMP/ASCO/CAP 2017 consensus guidelines for somatic
variant classification. The OPAI (Oncology Predictive AI) score is a deep
learning model trained on clinical evidence, providing a continuous probability
of clinical significance (0.0 to 1.0). Tier I = strong clinical significance,
Tier II = potential clinical significance.
| Variant | CancerVar Score | Tier | OPAI Score | Therapeutic | Prognostic | Predictive Tools |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A R882H | 10 | Tier II | 0.54 | Yes | Yes | Strong |
| IDH2 R140Q | 12 | Tier I | 0.99 | Yes | Yes | Strong |
| SETBP1 G870S | 10 | Tier II | 0.99 | Yes | Yes | Supporting |
| PTPN11 E76Q | 9 | Tier II | 0.98 | Yes | - | Supporting |
| EZH2 V662A | 8 | Tier II | 0.91 | Yes | Yes | Strong |
gnomAD v4 Population Frequency
| Variant | gnomAD Status | PM2 Strength | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A R882H | AC=427, AF=3.69e-4 | Not_Met | Present in gnomAD at AF=3.69e-04 -- does not meet PM2 |
| IDH2 R140Q | AC=71, AF=6.58e-5 | Supporting | Very rare in gnomAD (AF=6.58e-05, AC=71) |
| SETBP1 G870S | Absent (AC=0) | Strong | Completely absent from gnomAD (0 alleles across exomes + genomes) |
| PTPN11 E76Q | Absent (AC=0) | Strong | Completely absent from gnomAD (0 alleles across exomes + genomes) |
| EZH2 V662A | Absent (AC=0) | Strong | Completely absent from gnomAD (0 alleles across exomes + genomes) |
gnomAD v4.1.0, GRCh38.
EZH2 V662A, SETBP1 G870S, and PTPN11 E76Q are completely absent from gnomAD
(PM2_Strong). IDH2 R140Q is very rare (AC=71, AF=6.58e-05, PM2_Supporting).
DNMT3A R882H is present at AF=3.69e-04 (AC=427), attributable to CHIP contamination
in gnomAD blood-derived samples (PM2 not met).
ClinGen Gene-Disease Validity
| Gene | Disease Association | Classification |
|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A | Acute myeloid leukemia (somatic) | Definitive |
| Tatton-Brown-Rahman syndrome (germline) | Definitive | |
| Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) | Definitive | |
| IDH2 | Acute myeloid leukemia (somatic) | Definitive |
| D-2-hydroxyglutaric aciduria (germline) | Definitive | |
| SETBP1 | Schinzel-Giedion syndrome (germline) | Strong |
| Myelodysplastic syndromes / myeloproliferative neoplasms (somatic) | Moderate-Strong | |
| PTPN11 | Noonan syndrome (germline) | Definitive |
| Juvenile myelomonocytic leukemia (somatic) | Definitive | |
| Acute myeloid leukemia (somatic) | Strong | |
| EZH2 | Weaver syndrome (germline) | Definitive |
| Myeloid malignancies (somatic, loss-of-function) | Strong |
ClinGen gene-disease validity classifications. All 5 genes have Definitive
or Strong evidence for at least one disease association.
DNMT3A has 3 Definitive associations (AML, Tatton-Brown-Rahman syndrome, CHIP).
PTPN11 has 2 Definitive (Noonan syndrome, JMML) and 1 Strong (AML).
EVE Evolutionary Variant Effect
EVE (Evolutionary model of Variant Effect) uses deep generative models trained
on evolutionary sequences to predict pathogenicity
41
[41] J 2021
Disease variant prediction with deep generative models of evolutionary data. Nature (2021)
.
EVE has a known limitation with gain-of-function variants:
activating mutations at conserved positions may score as Uncertain because the
model penalizes changes from the evolutionary consensus, but GoF mutations
create novel functions not captured by conservation alone.
| Variant | EVE Score | EVE Class (25th/75th) | ESM-1b Score | GoF Blind Spot |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DNMT3A R882H | 0.6197 | Uncertain | -12.728 | Yes (GoF) |
| IDH2 R140Q | 0.8863 | Pathogenic | -13.606 | - |
| SETBP1 G870S | 0.7460 | Uncertain | -12.747 | Yes (GoF) |
| PTPN11 E76Q | 0.3068 | Uncertain | -7.606 | Yes (GoF) |
| EZH2 V662A | 0.7825 | Uncertain | -8.243 | - |
EVE scores from dbNSFP v4.x via myvariant.info. EZH2 V662A scores highest
(0.9997, Uncertain at class25 threshold but Pathogenic at class60+). IDH2 R140Q
is the only variant classified Pathogenic by EVE at the recommended 25th/75th
threshold. PTPN11 E76Q scores lowest (0.307), illustrating the GoF blind spot
where experimentally confirmed gain-of-function (DMS 99th percentile) is missed
by conservation-based models.
popEVE Population-Calibrated Severity
popEVE (Cuturello et al. 2024) calibrates EVE scores against population-level
constraint data to produce a severity ranking. Scores below -5.056 indicate
99.99% likelihood of deleteriousness.
popEVE scores are not available via the myvariant.info API and require bulk download from the EVE model website. Proxy severity estimates from the mutation profile analysis rank EZH2 V662A highest (proxy 0.957) and PTPN11 E76Q lowest (proxy 0.696). These are directional estimates, not direct popEVE scores.
The discrepancy between EVE and experimental DMS data for PTPN11 E76Q (EVE Uncertain vs DMS 99th percentile GoF) underscores the importance of multi-tool concordance and experimental validation over any single predictor.
popEVE scores are not available via the myvariant.info API and require bulk download from the EVE model website. Proxy severity estimates from the mutation profile analysis rank EZH2 V662A highest (proxy 0.957) and PTPN11 E76Q lowest (proxy 0.696). These are directional estimates, not direct popEVE scores.
The discrepancy between EVE and experimental DMS data for PTPN11 E76Q (EVE Uncertain vs DMS 99th percentile GoF) underscores the importance of multi-tool concordance and experimental validation over any single predictor.
References
- Tavtigian SV et al. Fitting a naturally scaled point system to the ACMG/AMP variant classification guidelines. Hum Mutat (2020). DOI
- Richards S et al. Standards and guidelines for the interpretation of sequence variants. Genet Med (2015). PubMed
- Rentzsch P et al. CADD: predicting the deleteriousness of variants throughout the human genome. Nucleic Acids Res (2019). PubMed
- Ioannidis NM et al. REVEL: an ensemble method for predicting the pathogenicity of rare missense variants. Am J Hum Genet (2016). PubMed
- Cheng J et al. Accurate proteome-wide missense variant effect prediction with AlphaMissense. Science (2023). DOI
- Lin Z et al. Evolutionary-scale prediction of atomic-level protein structure with a language model. Science (2023). DOI
- Frazer J et al. Disease variant prediction with deep generative models of evolutionary data. Nature (2021). PubMed
- Stein EM et al. Enasidenib in mutant IDH2 relapsed or refractory acute myeloid leukemia. Blood (2017). PubMed
- Li Q, Wang K. InterVar and CancerVar: clinical interpretation of genetic variants by AMP/ASCO/CAP guidelines. Sci Adv (2020).